Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 3.104946 3.618003 4.203185 4.922970 5.788477 6.800643 8.081159
2025-02-02 2.405065 3.079322 3.937347 5.122529 6.737876 8.892816 12.036368
2025-02-09 2.057552 2.802086 3.820941 5.343995 7.610008 10.933522 16.323749
2025-02-16 1.782353 2.546589 3.653769 5.416838 8.234370 12.706568 20.648182
2025-02-23 1.585624 2.359387 3.536244 5.515765 8.884914 14.625768 25.705488
2025-03-02 1.400266 2.155529 3.352271 5.461545 9.252774 16.128966 30.430880
2025-03-09 1.279262 2.032546 3.272869 5.558070 9.886620 18.230597 36.926986
2025-03-16 1.153873 1.883682 3.125765 5.504317 10.222832 19.827860 42.860221
2025-03-23 1.053209 1.762918 3.008454 5.481543 10.607302 21.601750 49.772096
2025-03-30 0.955391 1.634764 2.859842 5.372084 10.788508 22.973949 56.173372
2025-04-06 0.898006 1.572249 2.823129 5.477277 11.445789 25.583437 66.790124
2025-04-13 0.811944 1.446933 2.651182 5.275265 11.375046 26.428723 72.765561
2025-04-20 0.778800 1.427413 2.701444 5.599096 12.708224 31.481298 94.815819
2025-04-27 0.734347 1.382501 2.699240 5.821116 13.897520 36.716964 121.274927
2025-05-04 0.697950 1.347982 2.711872 6.078399 15.252990 42.984369 156.084053
2025-05-11 0.651981 1.287253 2.658010 6.162869 16.165142 48.290407 191.407980
2025-05-18 0.613295 1.236843 2.619249 6.277674 17.204527 54.500709 236.400121
2025-05-25 0.567387 1.164931 2.520442 6.214747 17.691042 59.004959 277.495358
2025-06-01 0.536848 1.123592 2.487908 6.326783 18.777144 66.329751 342.038725
2025-06-08 0.499711 1.062819 2.399673 6.264387 19.269208 71.554919 400.452171
2025-06-15 0.468178 1.011565 2.328245 6.237955 19.887848 77.692009 473.248115
2025-06-22 0.434892 0.952569 2.229454 6.110952 20.110318 82.209773 541.065619
2025-06-29 0.415909 0.926083 2.211769 6.233004 21.326421 92.249506 669.920551